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E. Tetlockauthor

Philip E. Tetlock

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Philip E. Tetlock (born 1954) is a Canadian-American political science writer. He is currently the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania, where he is cross-appointed at the Wharton School and the School of Arts and Sciences.

He has written several non-fiction books at the intersection of psychology, political science, and organizational behavior, including Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction; Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?; Unmaking the West: What-if Scenarios that Rewrite World History; and Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics. 

Tetlock is also a co-principal investigator of The Good Judgment Project, a multi-year study of the feasibility of improving the accuracy of probability judgments of high-stakes, real-world events. He has published roughly 200 articles in peer-refereed journals and edited or written 10 books, including his most recent book (with Dan Gardner), Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, A New York Times Bestseller, and an Economist Best Book of 2015.

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Superforecasting

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