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The Fourth Turning
400 pages, 1997
economics & politics
987 books
philosophy
711 books
history
999 booksThe Fourth Turning illuminates the past, explains the present, and reimagines the future. Most remarkably, it offers an utterly persuasive prophecy about how America’s past will predict its future. William Strauss and Neil Howe base this vision on a provocative theory of American history. The authors look back five hundred years and uncover a distinct pattern: Modern history moves in cycles, each one lasting about the length of a long human life, each composed of four eras—or turnings—that last about twenty years and that always arrive in the same order. First comes a High, a period of confident expansion as a new order takes root after the old has been swept away. Next comes an awakening, a time of spiritual exploration and rebellion against the now-established order; then comes an unraveling, when social bonds come undone and institutions weaken; followed by a cataclysmic crisis that brings everything to crash down; finally, there is a resolution as once again new social order is built upon its ruins.”
In 'The Fourth Turning', William Strauss introduces us to the concept of 'turnings', which are recurring patterns in history. These turnings, each lasting about 20-22 years, shape our society, politics, and culture. It's like a roadmap to understanding the past and predicting the future.
Strauss explores the idea of generational archetypes in his book. He suggests that each generation has a distinct set of common behaviors and attitudes, shaped by the turning they grew up in. This concept can help us understand why different generations see the world so differently.
One of the most fascinating aspects of 'The Fourth Turning' is how it uses historical patterns to predict future events. Strauss believes that by understanding the cycle of turnings, we can anticipate major societal changes. It's like having a crystal ball for the future of our society.
In the book, Strauss emphasizes that crisis isn't necessarily a bad thing. He argues that crises, or 'Fourth Turnings', are necessary for societal growth and renewal. It's a fresh perspective that can help us see challenging times as opportunities for change.
The lessons from 'The Fourth Turning' aren't just theoretical. Strauss encourages us to apply these insights in our lives. By understanding the patterns of history, we can make better decisions and prepare for the future. It's a book that invites us to look at the world in a new way.
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The Fourth Turning is a profound, compelling, and prescient vision of America's future. It's a must-read for anyone who wants to understand the forces shaping our world.
Steve Bannon - Political StrategistThe Fourth Turning is a book that speaks to the soul of America, and its message is both timely and timeless.
Neil Howe - Historian, EconomistRecommendations
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